Central Michigan @ Kent State 11/15/15
Kent's offense has been awful, and their defense, the only thing that had been keeping them in games, got smoked by the resurgent Ohio offense last week. That's bad news facing a Central Michigan team that defensively ranks pretty close to Kent while having, obviously, a much better offense. It's easy to see why this number quickly went to 10.5 after opening at 8.5. CMU still needs another win for Bowl eligibility, and they might as well get it this week even with Eastern Michigan on deck as a gimme' back up plan. Look for Kent to continue to struggle on offense, with CMU not able to pad the lead much in the 2nd half with their weak running game, in spite of Kent's defensive lapse last week. It's looking Undery here, especially with rain and wind in the forecast. I recommended a 1% play on the Under 43 when the line opened, and am probably going to ride that one out instead of going for the middle with an Over 40.5. CMU hasn't had many games where they've entered the fourth quarter with a comfortable lead, but when they have they've run the ball a lot more than they usually do in close or trailing games. They're already a pretty slow paced team in spite of their preponderance for passing, so look for the possibility of little to no fourth quarter scoring in this game, outside of a defensive or special teams play. There's a definite possibility this ends up being the lowest scoring FBS game of the week.