• Paul Compton

New Mexico Bowl: Arizona vs New Mexico

Arizona QB Solomon is now listed as probable for this game, while starting RB Wilson is expected to miss. The injury bug at linebacker for Arizona continued to bite deep into the season, but they will have start LB Scooby Wright back for this game after missing pretty much the entire season. I do not know what shape he is really in for this game. I'm showing good value on New Mexico in this game. New Mexico played pretty solid ball in the season's second half, improving in just about every facet, but especially in the passing game. Sure they are primarily a running team, but a triple option team (though New Mexico runs more of an option from the pistol look) that can throw the ball decently (like Air Force and Navy this year) can pick up huge gainers when they do pass. New Mexico is exactly that -- a big play team. Their top two RBs both have a 75+ yard touchdown run this season, while main QB Jordan has a 70 yarder. Even two backup RBs for New Mexico have 64+ yard touchdown runs. That will be trouble for Arizona, unpround owners of the 2nd worst defense in the PAC12. Arizona has my 93rd ranked rush defense and 108th ranked pass defense. Overall, though, they still rank 2 spots higher defensively than New Mexico -- 99th to 101st. Still, New Mexico was improving down the stretch, while Arizona was fading. New Mexico should be more excited to be Bowling than Arizona. Last year Arizona couldn't even get up for a Bowl game against Boise State, I don't see how they'll be up for New Mexico. New Mexico won as 20 and 30 point dogs in back to back weeks in the final month, don't be surprised if they win their Bowl game as just a 10 point dog. Plus, it's a home game for New Mexico -- bonus!